Author: Adam Forsyth

## Market Snapshot Strait of Hormuz Traffic Normalization is currently priced at a 58% likelihood of normalization by the end

Placing crypto alongside shadow banking and weapons procurement means Treasury believes it is being used for actual trade settlement.

## Market Snapshot The market on Israel’s withdrawal from Lebanon by May 31, 2026, is currently priced at 3.9% YES,

While generating a net profit above $1.04 billion, Tether’s excess reserve buffer hit a record $8.23 billion, concentrated in

Peter Thiel’s Founders Fund has closed a new $6 billion fund, marking the largest raise in the venture capital firm’s

## Market Snapshot The “Will Trump visit China by May 31?” market shows a 93.5% YES probability, up from 90%

Entering 2026, the global cryptocurrency market remains highly active. Strategy’s $2.57 billion Bitcoin purchase once again highlights institutional investors’ continued

## Market Snapshot Solana Price Predictions for May: Currently pricing supportive of YES outcome for Solana reaching $170. Ethereum Future